This is an election calculator.
This has successfully predicted the winner of every US Presidential election since 1984.
<-- ​Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.
​ <-- ​Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.
​ <-- ​Incumbency: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.
​ <-- ​Third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign.
​ <-- ​​Short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.
<-- ​Long-term economy: Real per-capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
​ <-- ​Policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.
<-- ​Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
​ <-- ​Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
<-- ​Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
<-- ​Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
​ <-- ​Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
​ <-- ​​Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.
Result --> scorescore=(Q1)+(Q2)+(Q3)+(Q4)+(Q5)+(Q6)+(Q7)+(Q8)+(Q9)+(Q10)+(Q11)+(Q12)+(Q13) out of 13 items are FALSE.
Interpretation --> scorescore=(Q1)+(Q2)+(Q3)+(Q4)+(Q5)+(Q6)+(Q7)+(Q8)+(Q9)+(Q10)+(Q11)+(Q12)+(Q13);score>5?'Incumbent Party Loses':'Incumbent Party Wins'
References (Hide/Show)From Allan Lichtman​'s Keys to the White House described in a Washington Post article. (1)
See also: Allan Lichtman's book "Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House 2016" (2)

Result - Copy and paste this output: